LA BELLE
DAME SANS MERCI
With
the above title we are not referring to Roseanna Cunningham, MSP, Deputy
Leader of the SNP, who gave out the bad news about the System Three
Opinion Poll, but to Fate, the fickle mistress, who has once again
turned against the Scottish National Party.
As you will see from the figures
below, we are almost at the level we were at the time of the Election,
when we got 35 seats, so on the basis of this there would be no change
in the composition of the Scottish Parliament. As is customary, when
Roseanna was commenting on the poll, she put the best gloss on it that
she could, which is to say that the battle is between Labour and the
SNP, with the other parties nowhere.
|
Scottish
Parliament Voting Intention
|
|
Labour |
SNP |
LibDems |
Con |
Others |
|
1st
Vote |
2nd
Vote |
1st
Vote |
2nd
Vote |
1st
Vote |
2nd
Vote |
1st
Vote |
2nd
Vote |
1st
Vote |
2nd
Vote |
| Election |
39% |
34% |
29% |
27% |
14% |
12% |
16% |
15% |
3% |
11% |
| Last Year |
33% |
27% |
36% |
35% |
12% |
16% |
12% |
11% |
6% |
12% |
| June |
39% |
32% |
34% |
31% |
8% |
12% |
12% |
12% |
7% |
10% |
| Last Month |
40% |
31% |
31% |
32% |
14% |
18% |
10% |
8% |
4% |
10% |
| Now |
38% |
33% |
28% |
28% |
15% |
16% |
11% |
12% |
7% |
11% |
Interesting that the Tories
have moved up a bit, probably because they have had a high profile, and
the emergence of Kenneth Clarke as the front runner in the leadership
stakes is giving them some encouragement; whether you happen to like him
or not, at least he gives the appearance of competence. In this respect
it is worth remembering that when Margaret Thatcher came to power, she
did it with the slogan "Labour Isn’t Working", and by the
end of her first term unemployment had risen to 2 million!
Under Others, the SSP has gone up from 3%
first vote and 4% second vote to 5% first vote and 6% second vote;
whether this is because they have now been joined by Father Steven
Gilhooley, the turbulent Edinburgh priest, is a moot point. The SSP has
up to now been a one man party, the preserve of the master of the sound
bite, Tommy Sheridan, MSP; just before the Election they were joined by
Colin Bell, previous Vice Chairman of the SNP, and previous editor of
our big brother, the Scots Independent Newspaper, and this might add a
touch of reality to their appeal. The Greens and Dennis Canavan show an
increase from 1% to 2% on the first vote and a decrease of from 6% to 5%
on the second vote; we do not think Dennis Canavan a sure fire winner in
Falkirk West, after his prevarication over rejoining New Labour or not.
The fact that he even considered betraying his electoral workers, and
his voters, will count against him, even if he did not ultimately do
that.
GATES
RATTLED AS WELL AS CAGES
An
item in the Tam Jenkins Home column in the August issue of the Scots
Independent has fairly upset Glasgow University; in the article the
University was described as
"a bastion of British imperialism", and it was criticising the
University for a proposal to put the names of Donald Dewar and John
Smith on their memorial gates.
The item said "And to prove all that
it has added the names in gilt of the arch anti-nationalists to its
memorial gates of two former colonial governors of Scotland, the Rt Hon
John Smith and the Rt Hon Donald Dewar - following a sustained campaign
by the Labour Party’s spin doctors retrospectively to sanctify the
reputations they never had in life." According to the Sunday Times,
an SNP spokesman, speaking deadpan, we might imagine, said "The
Scots Independent is an independent publication. It is a matter for
Glasgow University whom it chooses to honour in this way."
The Sunday Times also quoted a Brian
Fitzpatrick," who replaced Donald Dewar as MSP for Anniesland";
we cannot remember the name of the Labour Party’s invisible candidate
for Anniesland, but we do not think it was Brian Fitzpatrick. We think
Brian Fitzpatrick was a Dewar aide, who was sacked by Henry McLeish, and
became an MSP for another seat somewhere, after some dispute
within the local Labour Party. His salary would have been included in
the £527207 for eight special advisors employed before Mr Dewar’s
sudden death in October. A trifling £65900 each, but probably Mr
Fitzpatrick got more, as he was a big shot; the cost has gone up to £758000
but there are now eleven, so the figure is now £68900 a skull - who
says the gravy train has stopped?
However, we digress; the Scots
Independent editor, Kenneth Fee, was unrepentant. (We have not known him
to be anything else.) He said it was time that Glasgow honoured such
eminent nationalist graduates as Sir Compton Mackenzie, author of Whisky
Galore, Dr John MacCormick, who founded the Scottish Covenant campaign
(and author of The Flag in the Wind) and Professor Robert Silver, the
desalination pioneer. The university said that it honoured former
graduates and cited Adam Smith, the economist and James Watt, the
engineer; neither of these were politicians, and their legacies to
mankind were beneficial. Mr John Smith, a late convert to Home Rule,
left an unholy mess in his Monklands constituency which he had not
tackled, and Mr Dewar, another late convert, left an even more unholy
mess with the new Holyrood Parliament. In their drive to canonise Mr
Dewar, Labour members conveniently forget about his waspish spite, as
felt by (now) Sir Sean Connery, and Dennis Canavan, to name but two;
they also forget that when Labour was in opposition (and pretending to
have principles) Mr Dewar was the Chief Whip in the House of Commons,
not a job for a goody two shoes.
WATER
UNDER THE COUNTER
What a paradoxical world we all live in
in this Scotland 2001. The chief executive of West of Scotland Water,
Scotland’s largest water authority, Ernest Chambers, retired on 22nd
July, at the age of 54, with a
voluntary redundancy sum of £200000, plus a pension lump sum of £150000.
This was not an exorbitant sum, as his salary was £120000 . However,
the Board decided to retain him as a consultant, providing technical
assistance as and when needed, until October. He then told his former
employers that he was taking up a post with Beattie Media on 1st August;
this set alarm bells ringing. Mr Chambers was the chief executive when
Beattie Media got the contract with West of Scotland Water, and when the
three Water Boards are merged in April next year there will be rich
pickings for PR companies.
The new chief executive of WOSW, to cut
down on words, decided that there would be a conflict of interest, and
withdrew the consultancy offer; this despite the statement from Beattie
Media that Mr Chambers would not be working for the authority or any
other public sector client, would not be involved in public relations,
but was hired for his managerial and organisational expertise. This was
so obviously true, that WOSW then decided not to continue with its
public relations contract with Beattie Media.
Beattie Media were first employed by WOSW
in 1997, when 60000 consumers were without water for five days, while Mr
Chambers continued his holiday in the Maldives; they did not reconnect
the water, but probably made people feel better about being dirty and
thirsty. Observers of the Scottish political scene will also remember
the lobbygate issue, when Kevin Reid, son of the now Northern Ireland
Secretary, Dr John Reid, boasted to two Observer (as in Sunday
newspaper) reporters that he could get instant access to Scottish
Government Ministers, specifically mentioning Jack McConnell, whose
diary was then mysteriously destroyed, there not being a secretary a la
Lord Archer to photocopy it. Young Mr Reid thought he was talking to two
rich businessmen, and the subsequent investigation cleared Jack
McConnell.
And just for interest, I looked up the
minutes of West of Scotland Water Board for 26th January 2001, the last
published minutes on the web, to see if there was any reference to Mr
Chamber’s departure, and came across a different, but now topical
item: "For reasons of commercial confidentially, this item was
considered in private session. The Board agreed to the disposal of the
wind rights at Greenfield Farm on the Eaglesham Moor and authorised the
formal negotiation of contracts." - Hmm!
HENRY
SEEKS THE HANDOUT?
The
First Minister, Henry McLeish has emphatically denied that he has asked
the Treasury for £1 billion (shades of "It isn’t for myself, you
understand".) The money is reported to be for the transfer of
Glasgow Council’s housing to community ownership, and
the other is for free personal care for the elderly; Alasdair Morgan,
shadow finance minister said the claim only strengthened the argument
for the Scottish Parliament to have control over its own finances.
Alasdair said "Fiscal independence would allow Scotland to make its
own decisions with its own money and would end the situation where we
send a budget surplus to the UK Exchequer." Between last year and
this year, the surplus totalled £7.8 billion.
Of course fiscal freedom is a hot potato,
and we suspect that Mr McLeish may well feel as we do, that he should be
able to raise and spend the cash; he must be absolutely furious at the
Holyrood fiasco, where the legacy from Donald Dewar is going to be a
bill for around £300 million, decided by Westminster, but paid out of
the Scottish Parliament’s budget. Incidentally, on that particular
subject, next year the Church of Scotland will require the Assembly
Rooms back during May, and they are talking of decamping to Aberdeen,
Inverness or Dundee for the period; how sensible if they just moved a
short distance to the old Royal High School on the Calton Hill - and a
lot cheaper too.
THE
PRIVATE ADVANTAGES
Just
a couple of weeks ago I travelled up the A9 to Inverness, and I noticed
a lot of road signs saying "BEAR"; I did not think they were a
part of the latest ecological wheeze
to bring back brown bears to Scotland, but forgot about it until today.
The company concerned is one of those who won the contract to maintain
the roads; both Bear and Amey won contracts totalling £350 million over
five years after undercutting councils. They are now in the news as both
companies have been served default notices because they are not doing
what they are getting paid for. As Sarah Boyack, the Transport Minister,
had to face a no confidence motion in February, after she forced the
issue through Parliament, this is highly embarrassing; what is
surprising is that the Government is surprised!
Continuing on their merry privatisation
way, the Government is not saying anything about the latest criticisms
over PFI; two medical experts have now come out to stress that the first
call on any Trust’s finances is the payment of PFI costs. We have
touched on this subject before, usually with a sledgehammer, but it
seems that the New Labour Government is hell bent on putting even more
hospitals under PFI, and seem incapable of making any kind of commercial
common sense; private companies put money into public services not to
help public services, but to make more money.
Just this week I had delivered through my
letterbox a publication entitled The NHS in Lothian News; not a big
glossy, but quite well produced, and informative. However, it hardly
makes a mention of the new flagship hospital being built under PFI; it
tells me that there will be a single board for NHS Lothian, a new
hospital in Midlothian, that waiting lists have been cut and are well
ahead of the national target, even all about a new building at the
Western General. In the small print, and I bless my cataract operation,
or I would have missed it, it says the first phase will be completed
this autumn. However, it will still have less beds than are currently
available, and as there is also a crisis in the care of the elderly,
with bed blocking taking up 210 beds, what will they do then? Add to
this that Lothian primary care is heading for an overspend of £8
million, and Lothian University Hospital Trust is heading for one of £5.2
million, it is obvious that something is far wrong. There is also a
shortage of nurses, and a crisis of morale in the nursing profession;
this means that the hospitals have to use agency or bank nurses (no I
don’t know the difference) and the agency will be paid more than
double the rate that an NHS nurse will get; so you have two nurses on a
ward, and it could be the one with less skill is being paid a lot more
than the regular one. It’s the economics of the market, and it does
not work; private companies run nursing agencies not to help hospital
trusts but to make money.
And according to the GMB union (who have
a vested interest right enough) the cost of building the first 14 PFI
hospitals will be double the original estimate; the worst overrun so far
was the rebuilding of the University College Hospital in London, which
went from £115 million to £404 million. All this will be paid by the
taxpayer - us.
FOOT IN
THE MOUTH NOTES
Mrs Helen Liddell, Scottish Secretary,
has been given two tasks; she has to look after the grassroots
organisation for Labour, and also to encourage more direct flights from
Scotland.
It is nice that she will now have
something to do; instead of being known as Stalin’s Granny, she will
be known as Weedol.
According to a Daily Telegraph poll,
25% of Conservative members would leave the party if Kenneth Clarke
became leader.
Does that mean that 75% would leave
if he didn’t become leader?
The aforesaid Mr Clarke is said to be
ambivalent on the issue of all woman shortlists of candidates.
We now await equal rights with all
men shortlists of candidates.
Irish
investors own 30% of Celtic Football Club, and two Irish investors have
taken an 8% stake in Manchester United, which cost them £30 million; in
the year 2000, so many new cars were sold in the Irish Republic that the
banks had to devise special finance packages to help garages to cope
with unwanted secondhand vehicles.
The Irish government have not
approached the British treasury for £1 billion, but we are sure that
Labour MSPs still tell Irish jokes.
When Prince Charles fell off his horse
playing polo and was knocked unconscious one tabloid filled the front
page with the picture and story.
They need not have worried, as he did
not fall on his head; that happened at an earlier stage.
Absolutely astonished that Mohammed al
Fayed has sacked his personal assistant for irregularities which
"relate solely to Fayed’s personal accounts."
As the man had been in the job for
more than 10 years, he must be clever; there is a job for him in PFI.
There has been an increase in low
flying in Scotland over the last year; this mirrors a reduction
elsewhere in the UK. The MOD says the ability to fly at low level ,
including at night, remains vital to the armed forces.
I thought the problem in Kosovo was
that the planes kept missing targets because they had to fly too high in
case they were hit.
Next year will be the Queen’s Golden
Jubilee, fifty years on the throne. Royal officials are worried that
this will be greeted by the public with indifference.
Yawn.
LOCKERBIE
As
the appeal of the Lockerbie bomber gets under way, a new book will be
published in September; it is titled "Lockerbie - A Bum Rap"
The 12 year snow job. The book is written by David Rollo, assistant
editor (international) of the Scots Independent.
It says "The bomb which destroyed
Pan Am 103 was probably primed and/or initially loaded at Heathrow. The
officially assumed need to keep Syria and Iran on our side, or at least
neutral in the Gulf War switched attention to Libya."
The book is essentially a demand for a
"proper" inquiry and the publication of its results. It will
be published in September 2001 by Scots Independent (Newspapers) Ltd;
price £2.95, plus post 35p UK, 80p, Europe air, £1.17 rest of world
air, 59p surface.
SYNOPSIS
A selection of items from the SNP Daily
News over the last week.
NEW LABOUR FAILING IN THE
CLASSROOM
Children are still enduring overcrowded classrooms, despite government
pledges to recruit more teachers. The ratio of pupils to teachers has
fallen by only a fraction since New Labour came to power, according to
figures published yesterday. The figures also underlined that children
being educated at state schools in inner-city areas are still
significantly more likely to be taught in packed classrooms than those
at schools in rural areas. Michael Russell, shadow education minister,
said: "Despite the many pledges the Scottish government has made,
these figures highlight that they have manifestly failed to deliver on
their promises." The teacher statistics for Scotland also showed
that 70 per cent of teachers were now aged over 40, raising fears that
ministers were still not doing enough to attract young graduates into
the profession. Mr Russell said: "The government has to address the
issue of teacher employment to ensure we have sufficient numbers to meet
the needs of Scottish children in the future." Despite the
executive 's priority of reducing class sizes, there were 19 primary
pupils to every teacher last year - a fall of only one pupil from the
average of 20 per teacher in 1997. The situation is worse in state
secondary schools, where there were 13.2 pupils to every teacher in 1997
and last year there were 13 pupils to every teacher.
TOURISM FUNDS BOOSTER FOR HIGHLANDS
& ISLANDS
The
SNP has welcomed £36 million of funding to develop activity holidays
and improve tourist accommodation in the Highlands & Islands. The
cash is in the shape of two initiatives funded jointly by the public and
private sectors, both of which will offer grants to tourism businesses
across the region. Duncan Hamilton, shadow Highlands & Islands
minister, said: "Any additional investment in the tourism sector in
the region is to be welcomed however it is still essential for the
Scottish government to address the long term structural problems facing
the tourism sector in the Highlands & Islands." Mr Hamilton
identified these as the high cost of fuel in rural areas of Scotland,
the slump in the industry caused by foot-and-mouth, and under investment
in the transport infrastructure.
CASH BONUS FOR SCHOOLS FALLS SHORT
Schools across Scotland are to be given £10 million to spend on books,
equipment and urgent repairs, it was announced today. Head teachers will
be given the freedom to choose where they spend the money - whether it
be on buildings or in the classroom. The SNP's shadow education
minister, Mike Russell, said the money was only "a drop in the
ocean" that would not even meet the repair bill for any of
Scotland's local authorities. "Any additional investment in
Scotland's schools is obviously to be welcomed, however, the £10
million announced today by the education minister is only a drop in the
ocean and works out at only £3,494 per school and £13 per pupil,"
Mr Russell said. "The actual backlog for repairs alone is £1.5
billion and £10 million would not even meet the total repair bill for
any one of Scotland's 32 local authorities. At a time when our schools
are facing a severe lack of investment the Lib Dem-controlled Scottish
Borders recently announced deep cuts in their education services all we
have today from the education minister is window dressing."
LORD OWEN SHOULD GET EVIDENCE OVER
HEPATITIS C
Former Health Minister, Lord Owen, today queried whether enough money
had been spent to provide safe blood products for hemophiliacs and
called for a substantial increase in compensation levels for victims. As
a result Shadow Deputy Health and Community Care Minister Shona Robison
requested Lord Owen be invited to get the evidence to the Health and
Community Care Committee before it completes its report into the large
number of hemophiliacs infected with hepatitis C due to contaminated the
blood products. Ms Robison commented "Lord Owen has made some very
powerful comments about whether enough money was spent at the time to
provide safe blood products for hemophiliacs."
THOUSANDS WILL STILL BE WORRIED
FOLLOWING SQA ANNOUNCEMENT
Shadow Minister for Children and Education Michael Russell has today
welcomed progress from the SQA but expressed significant concerns that
over 1,500 candidates have certificates which cannot yet be completed
due to missing data or incorrect entries. While encouraged by the fact
that 17,000 missing results last year has this year been reduced to just
over fifteen hundred, Mr. Russell urged the SQA to make "every
possible effort" to correct the errors before the final posting
date for certificates. Mr. Russell also announced that, once this year's
results process is finished, he would be urging the Education Minister
to bring forward plans for a complete revision of the Scottish
Examination system.
ANTI-SCOTTISH DECISION COSTS 366 JOBS
AT ROSYTH
Following
the news today that the Babcock engineering have announced plans for
more than 360 job losses at the Rosyth dockyard, the Shadow Defense
Spokesperson Colin Campbell described the announcement as "a savage
blow to the workers at Rosyth and their families". Mr. Campbell
continued "The damaging impact of London-based policies is
seriously weakening the Scottish economy. Scotland needs the powers of
Independence so that we can develop policies that are tailored for
Scottish conditions and opportunities. Scotland has been left with the
danger of Trident nuclear submarines, but the jobs have been taken
away."